
After garnering attention from around the globe, your 4 favorite morons are back with the 2nd Annual Musings on March Madness by 4 Morons! Before we get into the picks for this year, let’s take a look at how we faired last year. The Final Four consisted of #5 Michigan State, #5 Butler, #2 West Virginia, and #1 Duke. Butler and Duke met in the National Championship with Duke taking home the title.
Unfortunately, our picks were just a little bit off. Ryan Lewis and Ben Wheeler picked Duke to make the Final Four, and that’s as close as any of us got. In fact, David picked #12 UTEP to upset #5 Butler in the 1st round. Whoops!!! So, our picks were way off…but let’s be honest—so were yours!
So, we’re back this year and we guarantee to do better! If we don’t, we’ll give you next year’s picks for free! Without further ado, here are the Musings on March Madness by 4 Morons:
Biggest 2nd Round Upset
Ben Wheeler:
#12 Richmond over #5 Vanderbilt (trendy)
A very talented Richmond team has a great chance over Vanderbilt.
#14 Wofford over #3 BYU (non trendy)…just a hunch
Ryan Akers:
#12 Utah St. over #5 Kansas St.
Forget Jacob Pullen. This team has been the biggest disappointment of the year. They better bring their “A” game vs. Utah State, who is holding opponents to 58 ppg.
Ryan Lewis:
#14 Wofford over #3 BYU
Jimmer Fredette is the best player in the nation. Period. However, even the strongest shoulders get tired of carrying a heavy load. Although they were once fighting for a #1 seed, the Cougars have not been the same since the loss of Brandon Davies, and the load on Fredette has gotten even heavier in his absence. Wofford’s perimeter defense is just strong enough to contain Jimmer. Coming off a tournament appearance last year when they nearly upset Wisconsin as a #14 seed, don’t expect them to miss out on a second chance to pull a monumental upset.
David Jones:
#11 Marquette over #6 Xavier
Everything is stacked against Marquette in this matchup. They lost their last game to Louisville. They’ve lost 3 out of their last 5. They’re playing in the same state as Xavier University. However, I am a big believer in the Big East and I believe the 11th best team in the Big East is better than the top ranked team in the Atlantic 10. Marquette can score, pass, and shoot, and I think they’ll be too much for Holloway and Xavier.
Cinderella Team Most Likely to Make It to the Sweet 16
Ben Wheeler:
#12 Richmond
They have a great shot to make it past Vanderbilt and then Louisville in the second round.
Ryan Akers:
#13 Oakland
Keith Benson is big and they average around 85 ppg. They can score and score big. They’ve played a tough schedule all year long. I could see a Sweet 16 appearance in their future.
Ryan Lewis:
#13 Belmont
This may be the “trendy” Cinderella pick, but for good reason. Belmont was No. 1 in the nation this year in scoring margin. They lost a total of 4 games this year, 3 losses coming to tournament teams. They are the “favored” underdog against a Wisconsin team who scored less field goals in their game against Penn State than their football kicker can kick during the two-minute drill. Proving against Duke in 2008 that they shouldn’t be overlooked, the Bruins will prove to be the mid-major to watch this year.
David Jones:
#6 St. John’s
No, they’re not a Cinderella team and no, they’re not even a low seed. But I don’t believe we will see many, if any, Cinderellas in this tournament. St. John’s is the lowest seeded team that I see making the Sweet 16. In a tournament that may be chalk, they may be the closest thing to a glass slipper that we see.
However, I do want to put something out there that no one is talking about. While I fully expect Syracuse to make the Sweet 16, if Marquette beats Xavier and meets Syracuse in the 3rd round, we could have an upset in the making. These 2 Big East teams met January 29 and Marquette defeated Syracuse 76-70. No one is talking about the Golden Eagles making the Sweet 16, but if they get past Xavier, there’s a chance Cinderella does dance after all.
Trendy 2nd Round Upset Pick that WON’T Happen
Ben Wheeler:
#13 Belmont over #4 Wisconsin.
Not happening!
Ryan Akers:
#12 Memphis over #5 Arizona.
Don’t get me wrong—Pastner is a phenomenal coach. But Memphis is simply not that great this year.
Ryan Lewis:
#12 Richmond over #5 Vanderbilt
Yes, I know, there have been only 3 years in the past 26 that a No. 12 seed has failed to win their first game, but it won’t be Richmond this year. Although Vanderbilt’s offense has a tendency to sputter at times, look for John Jenkins, Jeffrey Taylor, and Festus Ezeli to turn it up come tournament time. The ‘Dores have been upset in their last 2 NCAA appearances, but this is the year Kevin Stallings will guide them over the hump.
David Jones:
#13 Oakland over #4 Texas
It’s preposterous that people are even giving this game a second look. Texas is a very good team and the Longhorns were 15-4 in their last 19 games. They have wins over Kansas, Texas A&M (3), Missouri, and North Carolina. Oakland has some incredible scorers, but Jordan Hamilton can play! Expect to see this team drop out no earlier than the Sweet 16.
Star Player You Need to Know
Ben Wheeler:
Nolan Smith, Duke.
The ACC player of the year looks as if he is ready to dominate the tournament field again this year. He was really impressive in the ACC tournament and I think he is ready to lead Duke to yet another Final Four.
Ryan Akers:
Kemba Walker, UConn.
The dude scores. You can take your Jimmer Fredette. I’m pretty sure I could drop 100 points versus Southern Arizona State College of Sewing, too. Kemba plays a tough conference and plays big.
Ryan Lewis:
JaJuan Johnson, Purdue.
In the absence of Robbie Hummel, Johnson has become the MVP for Purdue, leading them to a 2nd place regular season finish in the Big Ten. Averaging 20+ points, 8+ rebounds, and 2+ blocks per game, he has carried a team whose outlook became bleak after losing Robbie Hummel in October to another ACL injury. With a favorable draw in the tournament, Purdue looks to make their second-straight Sweet 16 appearance on the back of their senior leader.
David Jones:
Jimmer Fredette, BYU.
By now, you probably know his name. Jimmer leads the nation in scoring with 28.5 ppg and can hit a shot from anywhere on the court. As soon as you take a split second to relax on defense, he either drives by you with an acrobatic move or knocks down a 3 from NBA-range over your tired arms. He shoots over 40% from behind the arc and recently put up 52 points against New Mexico. By the way, this kid isn’t built like LeBron; he’s 6’2 and 195 lbs. BYU may not stick around too long, but enjoy watching Jimmer while you can!
Unknown Player You Need to Know
Ryan Akers:
Chris Singleton, Florida State.
I have watched two FSU games this year, and this kid is by far one of the best I have seen. I don’t know if it is raw skill to be able to play anywhere on the floor that impresses me, or just the hustle I saw, but if he is clicking and playing well, I think FSU could surprise a few people.
I also have to play the homer card and say Josh Harrellson with Kentucky. He is the most improved player in the nation in my opinion. After sitting patiently through struggles and problems, Harrellson has been the glue to hold together a young UK team. When Enes Kanter was declared ineligible, Jorts, for his ridiculous jean shorts he enjoys to wear, stepped up. He doesn’t throw down a lot of points, but he is like a vacuum on the boards. If Jorts continues his play of solid rebounding and can contribute with points, brackets could be busted going into weekend three.
Ryan Lewis:
Tobias Harris, Tennessee.
Unless you follow SEC basketball closely, you’ve likely not heard of the freshman forward. A consistent player for the Vols, Harris has come on especially strong as of late, averaging 20.8 points in his last 5 games. When team scoring leader Scotty Hopson (aka Kid ‘N Play) has had some inconsistencies in his game this season, Harris has stepped up to carry the load. His 15+ points and 7+ rebounds per game have helped him become a young leader on this conflict-ridden team. As they have proven in years past, Tennessee is not a team to be underestimated in the tournament, and Tobias Harris may find it to be a proving ground for his talent.
David Jones:
Derrick Williams, Arizona.
Die-hard college basketball fans and PAC-10 fans know Derrick Williams, but he has flown under the radar when it comes to the national media. As a 6’8 sophomore, Williams is putting up 19 ppg and 8 rbg. He scored over 20 points each of the three times Arizona played Washington this year. Be ready to hear Williams’ name during the tournament, and also as a lottery pick in next year’s NBA Draft.
Final Four Picks
Ben Wheeler:
East: #1 Ohio State
The only team in their region that could pose a threat to them is Syracuse. I see the Buckeyes rolling through their region on the way to Houston.
West: #1 Duke
Nolan Smith and Kyle Singler are ready to go out as champs again and Coach K is simply the best in the business. The potential return of Kyrie Irving could make them even more of a force. They don’t seem to have suffered from a championship hangover, especially after watching them dominate in the ACC tournament. They have a great shot to repeat as champs.
Southwest: #2 Notre Dame
They have been playing great basketball over the last month and seem to be ready to take their game to Houston. Kansas seems to be every expert’s pick to win it all; but wasn’t that the case last year?
Southeast: #10 Michigan State
This region is by far the hardest to pick, with maybe 10 teams with a chance to advance; and this pick may end up losing in the first round. I just can’t pick against Tom Izzo in the tournament. He is a master at getting the most out of his players come tournament time. I was tempted to make them my Cinderella pick, but can any MSU team really be considered a Cinderella?
Ryan Akers:
East: #1 Ohio State
Too big inside. Too skilled outside. They don’t go deep, but they click well together. I hate this pick, especially since it’s in the same bracket as my UK Wildcats, but they’ve sat atop the polls for the majority of the year and there is a reason for that.
West: #3 UConn
Why? Because they win. UConn is the only Big East team who had a very impressive non-conference performance in my opinion. While Tennessee beat Nova and Pitt, and UK beat ND and Louisville, UConn beat both of them and Texas, while rolling to a Maui Invitational Championship. They’ve only gotten better and they’re hot at the right time.
Southwest: #1 Kansas
Nothing pains me more than to have to put Kansas as a Final Four Contender. They have faltered down the stretch at times. Thanks to their friends in stripes, they escaped UCLA. They have played really bad basketball at times. But, it’s tourney time and I expect their best. The Morris boys are HUGE and exciting to watch. They can shoot outside with that white kid, while on the inside, they pass, shoot, and throw it down. I don’t see another team in the region who can match up with them.
Southeast: #2 Florida
So what if I’m an SEC homer? Florida is a good team. I think the SEC has flown under the radar all year long (see UT and UK vs. the Big East). Florida has experience, and we all know that experience goes a long way in March. Chandler Parsons, in addition to having the whitest name in college basketball, is a great outside player, but at 6’9, he can move inside and still play a role. Experience will definitely play a factor.
Ryan Lewis:
East: #1 Ohio State
Every time I’ve expected Ohio State to stumble this year, they’ve proven they are the superior team. Their balanced scoring attack from inside and out will prove to be too much for any team in their region, and I expect them to have a fairly smooth path to Houston. Thad Matta may be the best coach in the nation, and I expect him to prove it to 6 other teams over the next 3 weekends.
West: #1 Duke
I’m not a Duke hater, but I’m not a big fan either. However, I can’t not pick them. Look at their region. They have the shortest distance to travel for the first two rounds, and there is not a team in the West region that can match their combination of athleticism and coaching. Their toughest opponent in the entire region may lie in their 2nd round matchup against the team who always seems to surprise us come tourney time: the big, sweaty, orange jacket and the Volunteers. Still, the Blue Devils will emerge from the region unscathed.
Southwest: #2 Notre Dame
It was a toss-up between Notre Dame and Kansas, but since at least two teams from the same conference have made the Final Four 18 of the last 26 years, I had to go with the Irish. Kansas began the year as one of the most dominant teams in the nation, but then tapered off, as has become their habit. I’m not even sure the Jayhawks will be able to overcome Rick Pitino and his pesky male cheerleaders. Notre Dame has the talent to cover the advantage the Morrises create, and Ben Hansbrough has just enough of his brother’s grittiness to lead them to Houston.
Southeast: #1 Pittsburgh
Have you seen their region? The 2 and 3 seeds got man-handled in their conference championships, and I don’t see #4 Wisconsin advancing past the 1st round. That leaves Kansas State and St. John’s as the only threats standing in Pitt’s way. Kansas State has been far less than consistent this season, and Pitt has watched St. John’s upset enough teams (including the Panthers) to make them a little on edge. This is the year Jamie Dixon finally makes his 1st Final Four appearance.
David Jones:
East: #1 Ohio St.
The Buckeyes are playing like the best team in the nation right now. Although they have the toughest bracket, they match up well in all our their games. Sullinger doesn’t play like a freshman in the middle; he plays like a veteran with great footwork and a great passing ability. If teams decide to double Sullinger, there are plenty of guys for OSU who can knock down the outside shot. Watch for Ohio St. to roll.
West: #1 Duke
I hate Duke with a passion. As a UNC fan it makes me sick to see them advance in the tournament. In fact, I wouldn’t mind seeing my entire bracket blown to pieces in the 2nd round if that means Duke gets beat by Hampton. Nonetheless, with the leadership and defense of Nolan Smith, the Blue Devils are poised to make a run at another Final Four. If Irving can contribute in the least bit, they should easily find themselves in Houston on April 2.
Southwest: #1 Kansas
As if it wasn’t bad enough picking Duke, I have the Jayhawks making it to the Final Four as well. Although Kansas is susceptible to turning the ball over, it will be difficult for any team in the Southwest to play with the Morris brothers down low. Kansas is a tricky team when it comes to the tournament. They could go all the way, or they could lose one of their first games (see Bucknell and Northern Iowa). However, I think this team is ready to make a run.
Southeast: #1 Pittsburgh
I hate picking all #1 seeds and never do it! I was determined to pick against Pittsburgh in this bracket until I saw their competition. #2 Florida is overseeded. #3 BYU is without Davies. #4 Wisconsin struggled to even make a basket in the Big 10 Tournament. #5 Kansas St. has been inconsistent all year. #6 St. John’s is missing one of their starting players. This is the region of “misfit teams.” Because of Pittsburgh’s difficult schedule and experience in the Big East, I see them being stronger and more experienced than the rest of their region. I also must mention that Brad Wanamaker is like a wizard at the guard position. He can score, pass, and rebound. With the ball in his hands, he should lead Pitt all the way to Houston.
National Championship
Ben Wheeler:
#1 Duke vs. #2 Notre Dame.
Ryan Akers:
#1 Ohio State vs. #1 Kansas
Ryan Lewis:
#1 Ohio State vs. #1 Pittsburgh
David Jones:
#1 Ohio State vs. #1 Kansas
National Champion
Ben Wheeler:
Duke
The Duke-OSU game serves as a de facto National Championship as the winner of that game will win against either of the other teams. I predict Duke will cut down the nets again as National Champs.
Ryan Akers:
Ohio State
Jared Sullinger can’t sing, but OSU will ride his back all the way to cutting down the nets. With the raw, youthful talent of he and Craft, and with the experience of Lighty, Diebler, and Buford, it’s going to be a tough road for whatever team plays them. Ohio State and Kansas would easily be the most exciting championship game I could think of watching, unless of course I could see my UK Wildcats beat the Tennessee “Volunteers To Clean Up The Highway Because Of Parole” one more time this year…
Ryan Lewis:
Ohio State
In a matchup of the two regular season champions of the two strongest conferences in college basketball, the Big Ten will prevail. My Big Ten bias and Ohio State loathing aside, no team in the tournament has the weapons that the Buckeyes have. Jared Sullinger has spent the season dominating the post while his guards, led by John “3-bler” (Diebler) have owned the arc. With four starters that average in double figures, OSU will be too much for Jamie Dixon’s Panthers to handle. Congratulations to the 2011 National Champions, the Ohio State University. (It leaves a nasty aftertaste, doesn’t it?)
David Jones:
Ohio State
The combo of Sullinger, Dieber, Craft, and Lighty will be too much for the Kansas Jayhawks. When time runs out, they’ll be celebrating in Ohio and singing “Party in the OSU.” The Buckeyes will be cutting down the nets in Houston.
Ben Wheeler (@bw_wheeler) is a play-calling aficionado who is rumored to be in line for the head coaching job at NC State. He played at NC State during the Valvano era and is actually the guy Jimmy V was looking to hug in 1983. Ryan Akers (@RyanAkers) played at the University of Kentucky for two years before getting drafted by the Vancouver Grizzlies. When the Grizzlies moved to Memphis, Ryan decided to take his talents to South Beach…in Haiti. Ryan Lewis (@Ryan_Lewis) played college basketball at a small NCCAA Division II school that has yet to finalize its name. He is now Commissioner of a much bigger conference that refuses to recognize the “Big Dance” because it uses the word “dance.” David Jones (@iPopEditor) earned his Ph.D. from ESPN U under the guidance of Dr. Joe Lunardi. His dissertation was entitled, “One Shining Moment: How Jennifer Hudson’s Version Nearly Ruined the 2009-2010 Season.” And if you believe any of this, you probably also trust our picks, and I am deeply sorry for that.
[Photo source: http://bit.ly/gBVNFY]